Knowledge-based discourse

Nintendo’s R&D expenses in Q2 totaled ¥47.1B, thus -4% QoQ and +8% YoY. On the surface that’s unremarkable, but the company is currently in a period of elevated R&D spending:

The image above shows the moving 4-quarter total (to smooth out short-term fluctuations) for each quarter since 2012. Whenever there was a period of sustained +20% YoY increase in R&D, a new hardware followed:

2014 → Switch (Lite also conceived?)
2020 → Switch OLED
2024 → Switch 2
2026 → ???

In the latest Q&A, Shinya Takahashi stated that “new ways to play” are being worked on (image below). It could be just a platitude, but what if?

Reference: My previous look at the annual R&D expenses

[Originally posted on 2026-11-06 Pacific Time]